Race 4B

thompson-throphy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Teddy Nicolosi 16.6% 16.7% 12.3% 11.3% 8.8% 8.2% 7.8% 5.2% 3.7% 2.7% 2.7% 1.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
Humberto Porrata 2.1% 2.2% 2.0% 2.5% 3.1% 2.8% 3.4% 3.8% 5.0% 5.4% 5.0% 7.8% 8.6% 14.3% 32.0%
Robert Hunter 8.8% 8.6% 8.4% 9.4% 8.3% 7.8% 7.8% 7.4% 7.6% 6.9% 6.0% 5.4% 3.6% 2.0% 2.0%
Jonathan Bailey 4.1% 4.3% 4.0% 5.0% 6.6% 5.6% 5.3% 5.3% 7.7% 6.7% 7.7% 6.6% 9.8% 11.7% 9.6%
John Walton 5.7% 6.2% 6.0% 5.3% 5.4% 5.5% 6.8% 5.9% 6.2% 7.0% 8.9% 8.7% 8.9% 6.5% 7.0%
Parker Colantuono 5.6% 5.2% 5.6% 5.7% 5.4% 7.0% 5.4% 7.6% 7.3% 9.4% 7.5% 7.0% 8.9% 7.8% 4.6%
Ansgar Jordan 9.8% 7.4% 9.1% 6.8% 8.6% 9.1% 9.1% 7.9% 6.9% 6.6% 5.1% 4.2% 5.4% 3.3% 0.7%
Daniel Unangst 7.4% 7.2% 7.3% 6.8% 5.9% 8.2% 6.5% 8.5% 7.1% 7.7% 6.7% 7.3% 5.2% 5.5% 2.7%
Dylan Ascencios 7.5% 7.5% 8.0% 9.7% 8.6% 8.6% 8.0% 7.7% 5.9% 7.7% 6.1% 6.3% 3.7% 3.4% 1.3%
Porter Kavle 6.5% 5.6% 8.3% 7.3% 8.6% 6.7% 7.3% 8.9% 6.8% 7.5% 7.3% 6.4% 5.5% 4.9% 2.4%
John Ped 4.2% 6.6% 5.4% 6.0% 6.2% 6.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 5.7% 6.2% 7.9% 9.4% 7.4% 8.0%
William Bedford 3.4% 2.3% 2.8% 3.2% 5.6% 5.9% 5.7% 4.7% 6.2% 6.9% 6.1% 8.6% 10.4% 14.1% 14.1%
Aidan Dennis 4.5% 4.7% 4.8% 6.4% 4.5% 5.0% 6.8% 6.1% 7.9% 4.7% 9.6% 9.7% 7.8% 10.3% 7.2%
William Michels 8.2% 9.4% 9.5% 8.7% 8.7% 7.2% 7.2% 7.1% 8.5% 6.6% 6.5% 4.5% 3.1% 3.1% 1.7%
Hunter Zonnenberg 5.6% 6.1% 6.5% 5.9% 5.7% 6.4% 5.9% 6.9% 6.2% 8.5% 8.6% 8.1% 8.0% 5.1% 6.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.