← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin2.09+8.29vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.75+4.93vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University2.63+4.41vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.43+0.79vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College2.82+1.91vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+1.62vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.81-0.15vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island2.36+0.51vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-0.39vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University2.33-1.32vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College2.46-2.83vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University2.83-4.94vs Predicted
-
13University of South Florida1.37-1.07vs Predicted
-
14University of Miami2.27-5.21vs Predicted
-
15Brown University2.36-6.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.29University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
-
6.93Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
-
7.41Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
-
4.79Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
-
6.91Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
-
7.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
-
6.85Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
-
8.51University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
-
8.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
-
8.68Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
-
8.17Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
-
7.06Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
-
11.93University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
-
8.79University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
-
8.45Brown University2.360.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Bailey | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 10.6% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Porter Kavle | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 16.0% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| William Michels | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Robert Hunter | 10.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% |
| John Ped | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% |
| John Walton | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.3% |
| Walter Henry | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Humberto Porrata | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 39.4% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.