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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.73+9.30vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology2.75+8.24vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.18+5.59vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.92+1.68vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.84+5.10vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+0.62vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.40+0.61vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.25+0.42vs Predicted
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9Columbia University2.34+2.49vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania3.63-3.37vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-1.00vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.48-4.43vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.33-5.34vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy-0.74+4.13vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.48-3.90vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.41-8.52vs Predicted
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17Drexel University0.20-0.06vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College3.06-9.11vs Predicted
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19Syracuse University0.38-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.3Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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10.24Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.0%1st Place
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8.59Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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5.68University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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10.1George Washington University2.840.0%1st Place
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6.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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7.61Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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8.42Bowdoin College3.250.1%1st Place
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11.49Columbia University2.340.0%1st Place
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6.63University of Pennsylvania3.630.1%1st Place
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10.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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7.57U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.480.1%1st Place
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7.66U. S. Naval Academy3.330.1%1st Place
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18.13U. S. Military Academy-0.740.0%1st Place
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11.1Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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7.48Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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16.94Drexel University0.200.0%1st Place
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8.89SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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16.55Syracuse University0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Sachs | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| John Renehan | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 12.2% | 12.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Ricketson | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Louis Padnos | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| D.J. Hatch | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Billy Hines | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 8.8% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Halsey Richartz | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Holtzworth | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ravelo | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Peaco | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 8.2% | 20.3% | 64.6% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| John Meleney | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Nederlof | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 22.6% | 37.2% | 20.6% |
| Tyler Steel | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 29.0% | 33.2% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.