Race 12A

mt-hope-bay-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

6.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Edward Herman 13.2% 13.9% 12.3% 13.2% 10.2% 9.6% 8.5% 6.0% 4.7% 4.1% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Jean-Luc Depardieu 3.8% 4.0% 4.5% 4.5% 5.4% 5.9% 5.8% 6.9% 7.4% 8.9% 9.0% 9.8% 10.4% 8.6% 5.1%
Tyler Winowiecki 1.7% 2.1% 1.8% 2.1% 2.1% 3.2% 2.6% 4.3% 3.8% 5.3% 6.3% 7.6% 11.8% 17.0% 28.1%
Tristan McDonald 17.1% 15.8% 15.0% 11.9% 10.6% 8.1% 7.8% 5.9% 3.0% 2.2% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Sean Morrison 1.4% 1.9% 2.0% 2.2% 2.9% 2.5% 3.2% 3.3% 3.9% 5.3% 7.3% 8.9% 10.9% 16.6% 27.8%
Pierson Falk 5.0% 5.7% 5.2% 6.2% 7.0% 7.1% 7.2% 8.0% 9.0% 7.8% 9.6% 8.4% 7.0% 4.8% 2.0%
Connor McHugh 16.9% 14.4% 12.8% 13.1% 10.5% 8.9% 8.3% 6.2% 3.4% 2.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Emilia Perriera 2.1% 2.1% 2.8% 2.7% 2.8% 4.3% 3.9% 4.4% 5.7% 6.7% 7.2% 9.4% 12.4% 16.4% 17.3%
Joey Richardson 8.0% 8.1% 8.1% 7.5% 8.5% 9.4% 7.8% 8.6% 9.1% 7.7% 6.6% 5.1% 3.2% 1.4% 0.8%
David Vinogradov 10.2% 9.6% 9.8% 10.4% 11.1% 9.2% 9.0% 7.8% 7.2% 6.2% 3.9% 2.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
Meara Conley 4.0% 4.8% 4.7% 4.2% 6.0% 5.6% 8.0% 7.5% 9.2% 8.1% 9.3% 10.4% 8.9% 6.2% 3.1%
John Mason 4.1% 4.0% 5.3% 5.7% 5.1% 6.9% 6.6% 7.3% 8.8% 8.1% 9.6% 9.6% 8.8% 6.9% 3.4%
Keller Morrison 5.2% 5.3% 6.6% 5.4% 6.8% 6.6% 8.2% 8.3% 8.3% 9.2% 8.9% 7.1% 6.8% 5.0% 2.2%
Emaline Ouellette 2.8% 3.3% 3.5% 4.3% 3.7% 5.0% 5.6% 7.0% 7.6% 8.2% 8.8% 10.2% 10.2% 11.5% 8.5%
Jancy Grayson 4.8% 5.0% 5.7% 6.6% 7.4% 7.8% 7.4% 8.4% 9.0% 9.4% 8.0% 7.9% 6.4% 4.7% 1.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.