Race 7B

thompson-throphy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Teddy Nicolosi 15.4% 15.7% 13.3% 12.3% 6.6% 8.8% 7.0% 6.2% 5.6% 2.5% 2.6% 1.5% 1.1% 1.0% 0.4%
Ansgar Jordan 8.3% 10.6% 8.7% 7.3% 9.0% 7.9% 9.6% 7.1% 6.3% 6.6% 3.7% 4.6% 5.5% 3.5% 1.3%
Hunter Zonnenberg 5.2% 5.1% 6.3% 5.9% 7.2% 6.1% 5.8% 7.1% 6.6% 7.3% 7.4% 9.1% 7.6% 7.9% 5.4%
Robert Hunter 8.7% 8.1% 7.9% 9.1% 7.7% 7.7% 8.8% 6.9% 6.7% 7.0% 6.2% 5.0% 4.5% 3.6% 2.1%
Dylan Ascencios 8.2% 8.2% 6.8% 6.4% 8.9% 7.5% 6.6% 8.6% 9.2% 6.1% 6.1% 6.3% 4.0% 4.8% 2.3%
John Walton 4.7% 5.6% 5.4% 4.7% 5.8% 6.1% 6.7% 7.1% 6.8% 9.0% 8.3% 7.9% 9.1% 7.0% 5.8%
Parker Colantuono 6.4% 5.1% 5.2% 5.9% 5.6% 5.6% 8.4% 7.7% 6.8% 8.5% 6.3% 7.7% 7.1% 8.0% 5.7%
Walter Henry 6.4% 5.0% 7.4% 5.6% 6.6% 7.2% 5.5% 7.6% 6.7% 6.6% 8.4% 7.5% 7.8% 6.6% 5.1%
Aidan Dennis 4.6% 4.1% 5.0% 5.4% 6.7% 7.3% 6.0% 6.3% 7.0% 7.4% 9.1% 7.1% 8.9% 8.3% 6.8%
Porter Kavle 6.7% 5.5% 7.9% 7.0% 9.0% 6.8% 7.0% 7.8% 6.6% 6.5% 7.5% 6.4% 6.5% 5.8% 3.0%
William Michels 8.2% 9.4% 8.5% 10.3% 7.1% 7.7% 7.1% 5.4% 6.9% 5.8% 6.5% 7.1% 4.5% 3.1% 2.4%
Humberto Porrata 1.9% 1.5% 1.7% 1.5% 1.8% 2.5% 4.1% 3.1% 4.1% 6.1% 4.5% 5.6% 8.2% 15.4% 38.0%
John Ped 4.6% 4.4% 5.1% 5.7% 5.8% 5.4% 5.9% 6.5% 5.7% 7.5% 10.1% 8.0% 8.4% 9.0% 7.9%
Jonathan Bailey 3.9% 3.5% 4.4% 5.8% 4.8% 5.9% 6.1% 5.3% 6.4% 7.2% 6.1% 8.7% 9.6% 11.1% 11.2%
Daniel Unangst 6.8% 8.2% 6.4% 7.1% 7.4% 7.5% 5.4% 7.3% 8.6% 5.9% 7.2% 7.5% 7.2% 4.9% 2.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.