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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+6.48vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.83+4.62vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.36+5.42vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.27+4.77vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.63+2.59vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+2.74vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.82-0.25vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.46+0.18vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.43-4.33vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.81-3.01vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.36-2.50vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.75-4.67vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin2.09-3.30vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.37-2.30vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.33-6.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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6.62Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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8.42University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.77University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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7.59Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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6.75Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.18Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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4.67Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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6.99Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.5Brown University2.360.0%1st Place
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7.33Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.7University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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11.7University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
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8.55Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Unangst | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 6.9% |
| Porter Kavle | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% |
| John Ped | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% |
| William Michels | 10.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Walter Henry | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 15.8% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 12.2% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 35.1% |
| John Walton | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.