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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.82+5.74vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.43+2.67vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.46+5.07vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+3.60vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.27+3.86vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.83+0.80vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36+1.41vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.36+0.50vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.81-2.24vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-1.22vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.63-3.47vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.37-0.01vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.75-5.65vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.09-4.59vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.33-6.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.74Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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4.67Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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8.07Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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7.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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8.86University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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6.8Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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8.41University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.5Brown University2.360.1%1st Place
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6.76Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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7.53Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
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11.99University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
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7.35Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.41University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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8.53Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Michels | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 17.0% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Walter Henry | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Parker Colantuono | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 4.8% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% |
| Robert Hunter | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| John Ped | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.1% |
| Porter Kavle | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 15.3% | 37.2% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.6% |
| John Walton | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.