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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+6.46vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+6.41vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.27+5.75vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.82+2.75vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75+2.12vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin2.09+3.47vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.37+4.69vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.43-3.16vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.36-0.55vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.33-1.29vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.81-4.08vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.83-4.93vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.36-4.22vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.46-5.94vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.63-7.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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8.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.1%1st Place
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8.75University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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6.75Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.12Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.47University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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11.69University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
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4.84Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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8.45Brown University2.360.0%1st Place
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8.71Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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6.92Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.07Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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8.78University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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8.06Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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7.53Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Unangst | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% |
| John Ped | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% |
| William Michels | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 10.8% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 36.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 15.6% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 5.0% |
| John Walton | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% |
| Robert Hunter | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% |
| Walter Henry | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% |
| Porter Kavle | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.