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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.83+5.58vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.75+4.72vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.33+5.36vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.36+4.33vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.63+2.46vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.81+0.71vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin2.09+2.19vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.37+3.67vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-0.48vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.36-1.53vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.43-6.19vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-4.25vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.95-2.96vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.27-5.32vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.82-8.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.58Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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6.72Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.36Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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8.33Brown University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.46Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.71Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.19University of Wisconsin2.090.1%1st Place
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11.67University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
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8.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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8.47University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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4.81Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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7.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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10.04Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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8.68University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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6.71Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ansgar Jordan | 9.4% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| John Walton | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.8% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 5.3% |
| Porter Kavle | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Robert Hunter | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.6% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 35.2% |
| John Ped | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 16.7% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| William Bedford | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 15.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% |
| William Michels | 8.8% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.