Race 14B

thompson-throphy

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Teddy Nicolosi 16.8% 14.6% 14.3% 10.2% 8.4% 10.0% 5.4% 6.9% 4.1% 2.8% 2.9% 1.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.4%
Robert Hunter 8.4% 10.4% 8.0% 9.1% 8.5% 7.3% 9.1% 7.9% 6.2% 5.9% 5.0% 5.3% 4.7% 2.9% 1.3%
Jonathan Bailey 4.3% 4.1% 5.0% 4.1% 5.5% 6.3% 5.3% 6.0% 6.1% 7.3% 7.1% 9.6% 9.2% 11.4% 8.7%
William Michels 8.7% 9.2% 8.2% 8.9% 8.1% 7.5% 8.4% 7.1% 7.1% 6.6% 6.7% 4.1% 4.7% 3.3% 1.4%
Daniel Unangst 7.3% 7.1% 7.2% 6.3% 7.4% 6.5% 6.7% 8.1% 7.1% 8.5% 7.0% 7.0% 4.9% 6.2% 2.7%
Parker Colantuono 5.5% 5.1% 6.0% 5.5% 6.5% 5.0% 7.8% 7.2% 7.1% 8.3% 8.1% 7.9% 8.2% 6.3% 5.5%
Aidan Dennis 6.6% 4.8% 4.6% 4.9% 5.5% 6.5% 6.5% 7.6% 7.9% 7.5% 7.1% 7.8% 8.4% 8.3% 6.0%
John Walton 6.0% 4.4% 6.6% 6.1% 6.0% 4.7% 7.1% 6.0% 7.8% 7.6% 7.9% 8.1% 8.9% 6.5% 6.3%
Hunter Zonnenberg 4.9% 4.9% 4.4% 7.3% 7.1% 7.4% 6.5% 7.1% 7.8% 6.6% 8.9% 7.4% 7.4% 8.2% 4.1%
Porter Kavle 6.4% 6.8% 8.2% 5.6% 9.3% 7.0% 7.0% 7.9% 7.0% 8.9% 6.6% 6.2% 5.9% 4.7% 2.5%
Dylan Ascencios 7.5% 9.1% 8.0% 9.3% 7.0% 8.8% 7.4% 6.0% 7.8% 5.4% 6.0% 6.4% 4.9% 3.0% 3.4%
John Ped 4.9% 3.4% 4.2% 7.3% 6.6% 6.2% 6.2% 6.3% 7.5% 7.0% 8.1% 8.4% 8.5% 8.9% 6.5%
William Bedford 3.2% 3.7% 3.6% 4.5% 4.0% 5.0% 5.0% 4.3% 5.8% 5.1% 7.4% 9.4% 10.5% 13.8% 14.7%
Ansgar Jordan 8.3% 9.1% 9.1% 8.2% 7.8% 9.0% 8.2% 8.2% 6.3% 7.5% 5.6% 4.2% 3.9% 3.1% 1.5%
Humberto Porrata 1.2% 3.3% 2.6% 2.7% 2.3% 2.8% 3.4% 3.4% 4.4% 5.0% 5.6% 7.1% 8.5% 12.7% 35.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.