Race 15B

thompson-throphy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Teddy Nicolosi 16.3% 15.9% 12.0% 10.4% 8.1% 9.7% 7.2% 5.2% 5.5% 3.1% 1.9% 2.3% 1.1% 0.9% 0.4%
Robert Hunter 8.3% 9.2% 10.0% 8.4% 8.0% 8.3% 8.2% 6.6% 6.8% 6.2% 5.4% 4.7% 5.0% 3.2% 1.7%
William Michels 9.1% 7.1% 9.7% 8.5% 8.2% 7.5% 8.6% 7.0% 7.4% 7.7% 6.0% 5.2% 3.4% 3.2% 1.4%
Walter Henry 5.7% 6.3% 5.8% 7.2% 6.7% 6.6% 7.4% 7.3% 6.5% 7.1% 6.6% 7.3% 7.8% 7.1% 4.6%
John Walton 5.7% 5.7% 5.4% 5.4% 5.2% 6.1% 6.1% 6.8% 6.1% 7.5% 8.3% 8.8% 7.6% 8.4% 6.9%
Daniel Unangst 6.7% 6.9% 6.2% 6.5% 7.3% 6.9% 7.6% 7.9% 9.8% 7.1% 6.5% 6.3% 6.0% 5.7% 2.6%
Hunter Zonnenberg 6.8% 4.9% 5.6% 4.8% 6.2% 6.0% 6.9% 7.9% 6.1% 8.7% 7.2% 8.2% 7.1% 7.4% 6.2%
John Ped 5.3% 5.2% 4.6% 6.7% 6.6% 6.0% 4.2% 6.4% 6.7% 6.8% 8.1% 9.3% 8.8% 8.2% 7.1%
Ansgar Jordan 7.8% 7.5% 9.0% 9.8% 8.6% 7.8% 7.5% 8.3% 6.2% 8.0% 6.4% 4.7% 3.7% 3.1% 1.6%
Parker Colantuono 4.9% 4.8% 5.3% 5.5% 6.3% 6.6% 7.3% 6.1% 7.2% 7.4% 7.7% 7.7% 8.9% 8.5% 5.8%
Porter Kavle 6.6% 7.8% 7.9% 7.7% 7.2% 7.5% 7.6% 7.0% 5.5% 6.5% 6.7% 6.3% 6.7% 5.5% 3.5%
Jonathan Bailey 3.5% 2.7% 3.3% 4.1% 5.0% 6.1% 6.1% 6.1% 5.7% 7.1% 7.6% 9.0% 9.5% 11.7% 12.5%
Aidan Dennis 4.2% 4.6% 5.3% 4.9% 5.8% 5.3% 5.3% 5.5% 7.0% 6.8% 9.5% 8.3% 9.8% 9.3% 8.4%
Humberto Porrata 1.7% 1.6% 2.5% 3.1% 1.7% 2.5% 3.4% 4.6% 5.3% 3.2% 5.1% 6.2% 9.6% 14.1% 35.4%
Dylan Ascencios 7.4% 9.8% 7.4% 7.0% 9.1% 7.1% 6.6% 7.3% 8.2% 6.8% 7.0% 5.7% 5.0% 3.7% 1.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.