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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+6.49vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.06+6.37vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.13+5.20vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.23+0.59vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.85+4.29vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.22+1.95vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.28+0.61vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.04+0.58vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin2.24-1.15vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-3.88vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.50-3.98vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.64-1.77vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.91-3.65vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.71-7.87vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.24-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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8.37Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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8.2Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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4.59University of Rhode Island3.230.2%1st Place
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9.29Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
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7.95Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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7.61Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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8.58Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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7.85University of Wisconsin2.240.1%1st Place
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6.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.02Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.23Dartmouth College1.640.0%1st Place
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9.35University of South Florida1.910.0%1st Place
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6.13Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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11.21University of Miami1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maks Groom | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% |
| George Higham | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% |
| Eric Hansen | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 16.9% | 16.7% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 11.4% |
| Jed Bell | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% |
| Nicholas Davies | 8.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% |
| Samuel Bartel | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 2.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 16.2% |
| Sydney Monahan | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% |
| Alex Fasolo | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Zachary Ward | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 28.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.