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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.97+7.67vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.33+6.61vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.07+3.08vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.70+5.28vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.61-0.29vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.39-0.72vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.78+0.19vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.46-1.79vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.18+0.31vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.35-1.34vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.34-2.24vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.55-7.21vs Predicted
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13Brown University0.03-3.12vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island-0.20-3.51vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-0.93-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.67Salve Regina University0.974.3%1st Place
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8.61Brown University0.334.2%1st Place
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6.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.079.7%1st Place
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9.28University of Rhode Island0.703.5%1st Place
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4.71Roger Williams University1.6114.8%1st Place
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5.28Roger Williams University1.3912.3%1st Place
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7.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.787.0%1st Place
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6.21Salve Regina University0.469.2%1st Place
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9.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.183.6%1st Place
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8.66Roger Williams University0.354.9%1st Place
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8.76University of Rhode Island0.345.1%1st Place
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4.79Roger Williams University1.5514.8%1st Place
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9.88Brown University0.033.1%1st Place
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10.49University of Rhode Island-0.201.9%1st Place
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12.08Salve Regina University-0.931.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
| Keller Morrison | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 4.2% |
| David Vinogradov | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| John Mason | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 6.7% |
| Tristan McDonald | 14.8% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Edward Herman | 12.3% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Joey Richardson | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Meara Conley | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% |
| Jancy Grayson | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% |
| Pierson Falk | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 5.6% |
| Connor McHugh | 14.8% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 10.0% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 14.8% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 38.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.