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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.23+3.57vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.85+7.03vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.06+5.44vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.22+3.90vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.91+4.10vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin2.24+1.88vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.13+1.19vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.71-1.73vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.04-0.46vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-3.88vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-3.38vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.50-4.79vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.28-4.99vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College1.64-4.07vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.24-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.57University of Rhode Island3.230.2%1st Place
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9.03Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
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8.44Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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7.9Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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9.1University of South Florida1.910.0%1st Place
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7.88University of Wisconsin2.240.1%1st Place
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8.19Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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6.27Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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8.54Boston College2.040.0%1st Place
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6.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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7.21Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.01Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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9.93Dartmouth College1.640.0%1st Place
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11.19University of Miami1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 17.1% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.1% |
| George Higham | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% |
| Jed Bell | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% |
| Sydney Monahan | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% |
| Samuel Bartel | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
| Eric Hansen | 7.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% |
| Alex Fasolo | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Libby Redmond | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 4.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Maks Groom | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Nicholas Davies | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.5% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 15.0% |
| Zachary Ward | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.