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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.24+6.76vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.23+2.44vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.28+4.58vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+2.00vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.71+1.30vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.64+4.05vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+0.51vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.91+1.07vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.22-1.16vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.85-0.64vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.13-2.67vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.50-4.84vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.04-4.13vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.06-5.51vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.24-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.76University of Wisconsin2.240.1%1st Place
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4.44University of Rhode Island3.230.2%1st Place
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7.58Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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6.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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6.3Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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10.05Dartmouth College1.640.0%1st Place
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7.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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9.07University of South Florida1.910.0%1st Place
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7.84Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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9.36Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
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8.33Harvard University2.130.0%1st Place
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7.16Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.87Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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8.49Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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11.22University of Miami1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Bartel | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 18.2% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Davies | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.1% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Alex Fasolo | 9.8% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 14.6% |
| Maks Groom | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| Sydney Monahan | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% |
| Jed Bell | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 2.5% |
| Harris Padegs | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.3% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% |
| George Higham | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% |
| Zachary Ward | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 29.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.