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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+6.49vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.22+5.75vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+2.94vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.24+3.87vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.71+1.29vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.85+3.32vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.06+1.47vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.04+0.63vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.23-4.53vs Predicted
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10University of Miami1.24+1.33vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.13-2.68vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.64-1.74vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.50-5.82vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.91-5.01vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.28-7.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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7.75Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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5.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.87University of Wisconsin2.240.1%1st Place
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6.29Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.32Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
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8.47Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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8.63Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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4.47University of Rhode Island3.230.2%1st Place
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11.33University of Miami1.240.0%1st Place
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8.32Harvard University2.130.0%1st Place
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10.26Dartmouth College1.640.0%1st Place
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7.18Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.99University of South Florida1.910.0%1st Place
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7.69Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maks Groom | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% |
| Jed Bell | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Bartel | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 3.8% |
| Alex Fasolo | 9.8% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Harris Padegs | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.9% |
| George Higham | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 5.8% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 16.4% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Ward | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 29.9% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.3% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 14.5% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Sydney Monahan | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% |
| Nicholas Davies | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.