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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.22+6.82vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+3.89vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.71+3.12vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.23+0.60vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.64+4.99vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.85+3.29vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.28+0.62vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.04+0.63vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-1.51vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.06-1.42vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.50-3.99vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.91-2.67vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.13-4.45vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.24-6.12vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.24-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.82Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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5.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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6.12Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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4.6University of Rhode Island3.230.2%1st Place
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9.99Dartmouth College1.640.0%1st Place
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9.29Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
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7.62Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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8.63Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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7.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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8.58Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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7.01Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.33University of South Florida1.910.0%1st Place
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8.55Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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7.88University of Wisconsin2.240.1%1st Place
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11.21University of Miami1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Bell | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.4% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Alex Fasolo | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 16.6% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 15.0% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 9.1% |
| Nicholas Davies | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% |
| Maks Groom | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| George Higham | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% |
| Sydney Monahan | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% |
| Eric Hansen | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% |
| Samuel Bartel | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
| Zachary Ward | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 28.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.