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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.28+6.64vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.04+6.39vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.24+8.18vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+3.56vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.71+1.27vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.64+3.99vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.50-0.09vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.23-3.41vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.22-1.14vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.13-1.65vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin2.24-3.08vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.91-2.66vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.85-3.46vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.06-5.53vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-9.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.64Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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8.39Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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11.18University of Miami1.240.0%1st Place
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7.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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6.27Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.99Dartmouth College1.640.0%1st Place
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6.91Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.59University of Rhode Island3.230.2%1st Place
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7.86Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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8.35Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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7.92University of Wisconsin2.240.1%1st Place
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9.34University of South Florida1.910.0%1st Place
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9.54Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
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8.47Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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5.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Davies | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% |
| Zachary Ward | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 28.2% |
| Maks Groom | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Alex Fasolo | 10.5% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 14.2% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 8.9% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 17.4% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Jed Bell | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Eric Hansen | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.9% |
| Samuel Bartel | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.6% |
| Sydney Monahan | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% |
| Harris Padegs | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% |
| George Higham | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.