Race 11C

thompson-throphy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Colman Schofield 11.4% 9.9% 10.0% 11.0% 9.0% 8.3% 7.6% 7.5% 5.1% 5.5% 5.1% 3.4% 2.9% 2.0% 1.3%
Jed Bell 5.6% 7.1% 6.5% 8.1% 7.3% 7.8% 7.3% 6.3% 6.6% 7.2% 6.8% 7.0% 7.1% 5.8% 3.5%
Alex Fasolo 10.1% 9.7% 10.5% 8.9% 8.1% 9.3% 8.0% 9.1% 6.0% 5.8% 6.0% 3.9% 2.0% 2.0% 0.6%
Eric Hansen 5.5% 6.1% 6.5% 6.8% 6.1% 6.7% 7.5% 6.2% 6.6% 6.8% 7.0% 7.9% 7.7% 7.7% 4.9%
Samuel Bartel 6.6% 6.3% 6.9% 5.9% 6.4% 7.2% 6.4% 6.5% 7.2% 8.1% 8.2% 8.0% 5.5% 5.7% 5.1%
Libby Redmond 5.0% 5.1% 5.8% 5.1% 5.4% 5.9% 5.9% 7.1% 8.8% 8.6% 6.8% 7.8% 8.0% 9.0% 5.7%
Harris Padegs 5.4% 4.4% 3.9% 4.7% 4.8% 4.9% 6.1% 6.3% 6.8% 7.7% 8.3% 8.2% 9.1% 9.0% 10.4%
Nicholas Davies 7.0% 6.8% 6.1% 7.4% 6.6% 6.5% 7.0% 8.0% 8.0% 6.3% 6.8% 7.7% 6.1% 6.3% 3.4%
Nicholas Hurley 2.9% 2.4% 4.5% 3.5% 4.1% 5.9% 5.6% 6.0% 6.3% 6.5% 8.2% 8.0% 11.1% 11.6% 13.4%
Maks Groom 5.6% 6.0% 6.9% 7.9% 8.2% 7.0% 8.0% 6.3% 8.3% 7.2% 6.5% 7.3% 5.9% 5.9% 3.0%
Kerem Erkmen 16.6% 17.7% 10.9% 9.3% 10.1% 7.5% 7.5% 5.8% 5.2% 3.6% 2.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.8% 0.3%
Sydney Monahan 4.2% 2.6% 4.0% 5.4% 6.2% 5.3% 5.8% 6.7% 7.1% 6.3% 8.2% 7.5% 10.8% 9.7% 10.2%
George Higham 4.7% 4.6% 5.2% 6.1% 5.0% 6.1% 6.3% 6.2% 6.3% 8.3% 8.2% 9.5% 8.6% 6.6% 8.3%
Kenneth Corsig 7.3% 8.2% 9.1% 7.8% 9.9% 7.6% 7.8% 7.7% 6.9% 6.5% 6.3% 5.5% 4.6% 3.2% 1.6%
Zachary Ward 2.1% 3.1% 3.2% 2.1% 2.8% 4.0% 3.2% 4.3% 4.8% 5.6% 5.3% 6.7% 9.8% 14.7% 28.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.