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📊 Prediction Accuracy
6.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.55+3.76vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.07+4.28vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.18+6.18vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University0.35+4.82vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.70+4.28vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island-0.20+4.48vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.39-1.64vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.61-3.54vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-0.93+3.10vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.46-3.63vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.34-2.31vs Predicted
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12Brown University0.03-2.36vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.97-4.29vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.78-6.82vs Predicted
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15Brown University0.33-6.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76Roger Williams University1.5514.5%1st Place
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6.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.079.6%1st Place
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9.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.184.3%1st Place
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8.82Roger Williams University0.353.7%1st Place
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9.28University of Rhode Island0.703.6%1st Place
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10.48University of Rhode Island-0.202.4%1st Place
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5.36Roger Williams University1.3910.2%1st Place
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4.46Roger Williams University1.6117.2%1st Place
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12.1Salve Regina University-0.931.7%1st Place
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6.37Salve Regina University0.468.4%1st Place
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8.69University of Rhode Island0.344.2%1st Place
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9.64Brown University0.033.5%1st Place
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8.71Salve Regina University0.974.3%1st Place
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7.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.787.7%1st Place
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8.68Brown University0.334.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McHugh | 14.5% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| David Vinogradov | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Meara Conley | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 6.4% |
| Jancy Grayson | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% |
| John Mason | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 14.1% |
| Edward Herman | 10.2% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Tristan McDonald | 17.2% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 39.7% |
| Emil Tullberg | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Pierson Falk | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 4.9% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 9.7% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 3.8% |
| Joey Richardson | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Keller Morrison | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.