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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.06+7.41vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.04+6.37vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+4.48vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.50+2.92vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.71+1.33vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.28+1.69vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.23-2.37vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.85+1.24vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.22-1.13vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin2.24-2.04vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-4.89vs Predicted
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12University of Miami1.24-0.45vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.64-2.78vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.13-5.79vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.91-6.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.41Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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8.37Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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7.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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6.92Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.33Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.69Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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4.63University of Rhode Island3.230.2%1st Place
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9.24Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
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7.87Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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7.96University of Wisconsin2.240.1%1st Place
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6.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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11.55University of Miami1.240.0%1st Place
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10.22Dartmouth College1.640.0%1st Place
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8.21Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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8.99University of South Florida1.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Higham | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 5.5% |
| Maks Groom | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Alex Fasolo | 9.5% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Davies | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 16.3% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.6% |
| Jed Bell | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Samuel Bartel | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Zachary Ward | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 30.2% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 15.6% |
| Eric Hansen | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% |
| Sydney Monahan | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.