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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.71+5.07vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.28+5.49vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.06+5.42vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+3.54vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+1.15vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.13+2.31vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.50-0.12vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.64+1.96vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin2.24-1.18vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.91-0.88vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.23-6.26vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.04-3.14vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.85-3.48vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.24-2.78vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.22-7.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.49Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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8.42Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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7.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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6.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.31Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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6.88Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.96Dartmouth College1.640.0%1st Place
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7.82University of Wisconsin2.240.1%1st Place
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9.12University of South Florida1.910.0%1st Place
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4.74University of Rhode Island3.230.2%1st Place
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8.86Boston College2.040.0%1st Place
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9.52Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
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11.22University of Miami1.240.0%1st Place
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7.91Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Fasolo | 11.3% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Nicholas Davies | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
| George Higham | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% |
| Maks Groom | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 2.7% |
| Colman Schofield | 10.0% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Eric Hansen | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 9.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 15.9% |
| Samuel Bartel | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 3.3% |
| Sydney Monahan | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 16.3% | 17.2% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% |
| Harris Padegs | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.0% |
| Zachary Ward | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 15.7% | 27.6% |
| Jed Bell | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.