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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.98+4.12vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09+2.96vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.74+3.00vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.36+3.33vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.07+0.04vs Predicted
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6Olin College of Engineering0.52+3.94vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.00-1.74vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.13-0.25vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.88-3.52vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.00-1.62vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-0.32vs Predicted
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12Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.09-0.88vs Predicted
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13Harvard University0.65-3.58vs Predicted
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14Williams College-0.60-1.16vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-0.26-2.80vs Predicted
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16Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.32-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.12Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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4.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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6.0Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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7.33Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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5.04University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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9.94Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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5.26Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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7.75Tufts University1.130.1%1st Place
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5.48Brown University1.880.1%1st Place
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8.38Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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10.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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11.12Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.090.0%1st Place
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9.42Harvard University0.650.0%1st Place
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12.84Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
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12.2Middlebury College-0.260.0%1st Place
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14.48Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Bowdler | 13.1% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Elliott | 13.8% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 10.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Miles Williams | 11.7% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 2.4% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 13.2% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Severin Gramm | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Andy Leshaw | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 4.0% |
| Gabriel Tamayo | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 10.9% | 7.5% |
| Paul Kuechler | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 22.5% | 19.8% |
| Penelope Weekes | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 16.4% | 19.6% | 11.4% |
| Dominic Ioime | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 9.4% | 18.6% | 53.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.