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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09+3.89vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.88+3.51vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.13+4.89vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.07+1.07vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.00+3.31vs Predicted
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6Harvard University0.65+3.52vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.74-0.93vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.00-2.96vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering0.52+0.79vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-0.26+2.15vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.36-3.82vs Predicted
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12Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.09-0.84vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.98-7.76vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.32+0.34vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-4.20vs Predicted
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16Williams College-0.60-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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5.51Brown University1.880.1%1st Place
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7.89Tufts University1.130.1%1st Place
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5.07University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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8.31Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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9.52Harvard University0.650.0%1st Place
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6.07Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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5.04Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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9.79Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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12.15Middlebury College-0.260.0%1st Place
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7.18Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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11.16Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.090.0%1st Place
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5.24Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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14.34Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.320.0%1st Place
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10.8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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13.04Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Elliott | 12.8% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Severin Gramm | 11.3% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Miles Williams | 12.2% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Paul Kuechler | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 13.5% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| Penelope Weekes | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 16.1% | 20.8% | 10.7% |
| Nathan Selian | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Gabriel Tamayo | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 7.3% |
| Alex Bowdler | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dominic Ioime | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 18.8% | 49.9% |
| Andy Leshaw | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 4.3% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 15.7% | 22.3% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.