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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.92+4.68vs Predicted
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2Columbia University2.34+9.80vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.73+7.40vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.48+3.34vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.63+1.73vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.48+5.39vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.84+3.09vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.06+0.78vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.40-1.47vs Predicted
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10Stevens Institute of Technology2.75+0.21vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-4.21vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.25-3.58vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.41-5.08vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-4.07vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.33-7.06vs Predicted
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16Drexel University0.20+1.34vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.18-8.67vs Predicted
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18Princeton University0.21-0.56vs Predicted
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19U. S. Military Academy-0.74-0.21vs Predicted
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20Syracuse University0.38-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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11.8Columbia University2.340.0%1st Place
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10.4Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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7.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.480.1%1st Place
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6.73University of Pennsylvania3.630.1%1st Place
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11.39Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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10.09George Washington University2.840.0%1st Place
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8.78SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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7.53Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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10.21Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.0%1st Place
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6.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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8.42Bowdoin College3.250.1%1st Place
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7.92Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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9.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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7.94U. S. Naval Academy3.330.1%1st Place
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17.34Drexel University0.200.0%1st Place
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8.33Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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17.44Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
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18.79U. S. Military Academy-0.740.0%1st Place
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17.18Syracuse University0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Hawkins | 12.7% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Billy Hines | 3.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 4.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 4.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ian Holtzworth | 8.2% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Halsey Richartz | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Ricketson | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Steel | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Louis Padnos | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| D.J. Hatch | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Meleney | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ravelo | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Nederlof | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 15.4% | 22.0% | 28.3% | 15.8% |
| John Renehan | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Werner | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 16.6% | 24.7% | 25.1% | 16.9% |
| James Peaco | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 21.3% | 54.4% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 6.4% | 15.8% | 27.6% | 23.3% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.