Race 1B

central-series-four

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Peter Cronin 17.6% 16.2% 14.1% 12.6% 11.8% 7.6% 7.2% 5.6% 2.8% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Keller Morrison 5.8% 7.2% 6.6% 8.6% 7.7% 7.5% 9.6% 10.4% 12.4% 9.4% 7.8% 5.0% 1.8% 0.2%
Samantha Jensen 8.1% 8.9% 9.3% 8.6% 9.5% 11.2% 10.0% 8.6% 10.3% 8.2% 4.3% 2.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Emil Tullberg 4.1% 5.9% 7.1% 6.8% 7.8% 8.5% 9.9% 11.0% 11.7% 10.0% 10.0% 4.8% 2.0% 0.4%
Niall Sheridan 7.6% 8.0% 8.0% 10.2% 10.7% 9.4% 9.9% 11.6% 7.8% 9.4% 4.5% 2.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Sam Monaghan 15.1% 13.4% 14.9% 13.0% 11.3% 10.3% 7.5% 5.8% 4.2% 2.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Colin Snow 5.6% 4.8% 6.7% 6.9% 6.9% 8.2% 8.2% 11.3% 10.5% 10.8% 11.4% 6.1% 2.0% 0.6%
Max Katz-Christy 17.2% 15.2% 12.8% 12.2% 10.3% 9.3% 9.0% 6.0% 4.2% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Tyler Miller 11.6% 11.5% 12.9% 8.9% 13.5% 11.6% 8.5% 8.1% 5.4% 4.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Renato Korzinek 3.8% 3.9% 3.7% 6.7% 5.8% 8.6% 7.1% 9.5% 12.7% 12.5% 11.3% 10.1% 3.0% 1.3%
Grace Augspurger 1.1% 2.5% 1.6% 1.5% 1.9% 3.8% 5.7% 5.4% 8.0% 9.9% 15.7% 20.7% 16.5% 5.7%
Jack Schwab 1.0% 1.3% 1.4% 2.3% 1.2% 2.2% 3.6% 3.7% 5.7% 9.2% 16.5% 19.7% 21.6% 10.6%
Nick Harrington 1.1% 0.7% 0.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.8% 2.6% 1.8% 3.2% 4.2% 7.8% 17.6% 30.2% 27.2%
Brett Cohen 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1% 3.7% 4.5% 9.6% 21.9% 53.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.