Race 2B

central-series-four

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Peter Cronin 16.9% 16.1% 14.4% 13.2% 9.7% 9.8% 6.7% 5.9% 3.8% 2.1% 0.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Max Katz-Christy 17.0% 14.5% 14.1% 13.7% 11.4% 10.9% 6.4% 5.0% 3.1% 3.0% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Sam Monaghan 15.8% 15.9% 13.6% 12.2% 12.0% 8.8% 8.3% 6.5% 4.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Emil Tullberg 4.0% 6.5% 6.0% 7.3% 7.4% 9.1% 10.4% 10.0% 13.0% 9.9% 8.3% 6.2% 1.8% 0.1%
Samantha Jensen 6.5% 9.1% 8.4% 9.7% 9.4% 10.2% 10.4% 9.8% 10.3% 7.4% 5.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
Niall Sheridan 8.4% 7.2% 8.2% 8.5% 11.9% 10.4% 9.7% 9.7% 9.6% 8.6% 5.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
Colin Snow 5.5% 5.1% 6.8% 6.0% 7.5% 7.5% 9.1% 10.2% 11.1% 12.0% 10.8% 5.7% 2.3% 0.4%
Renato Korzinek 4.7% 4.7% 5.8% 5.1% 6.3% 6.0% 7.9% 10.6% 11.0% 11.8% 11.9% 8.9% 4.8% 0.5%
Grace Augspurger 2.4% 1.8% 2.2% 1.8% 2.0% 3.9% 3.3% 4.8% 6.9% 11.2% 18.3% 21.5% 13.9% 6.0%
Keller Morrison 5.2% 5.7% 5.3% 6.7% 7.6% 8.9% 10.7% 10.5% 11.5% 11.7% 9.8% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3%
Jack Schwab 1.0% 1.3% 2.1% 1.2% 1.8% 1.7% 4.2% 4.4% 5.7% 9.6% 11.6% 22.6% 23.0% 9.8%
Tyler Miller 11.6% 10.5% 11.7% 13.3% 11.9% 9.8% 9.8% 9.3% 5.0% 3.8% 2.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Brett Cohen 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 1.4% 1.0% 1.5% 2.5% 5.2% 9.2% 19.0% 56.7%
Nick Harrington 0.3% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 2.3% 1.7% 2.3% 3.3% 4.4% 9.3% 15.3% 32.0% 25.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.