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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+3.13vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.73+1.94vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.62+3.86vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.42+0.83vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.02+0.92vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.02-0.07vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.64-0.45vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.68-3.80vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering-0.65+1.16vs Predicted
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10Harvard University-0.82+0.59vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.34-3.30vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-0.52-2.13vs Predicted
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13Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.06-0.37vs Predicted
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14Williams College-1.47-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.2%1st Place
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3.94Salve Regina University1.730.2%1st Place
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6.86Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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4.83University of Rhode Island1.420.1%1st Place
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5.92Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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5.93Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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6.55Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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4.2Northeastern University1.680.2%1st Place
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10.16Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
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10.59Harvard University-0.820.0%1st Place
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7.7Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
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9.87Middlebury College-0.520.0%1st Place
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12.63Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.060.0%1st Place
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11.71Williams College-1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Katz-Christy | 16.6% | 17.4% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Cronin | 18.5% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Miller | 10.5% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Niall Sheridan | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Keller Morrison | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 16.5% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Miller | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 19.9% | 15.1% | 6.1% |
| Jack Schwab | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 20.2% | 18.1% | 10.1% |
| Renato Korzinek | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Grace Augspurger | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 6.1% |
| Brett Cohen | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 18.2% | 52.8% |
| Nick Harrington | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 29.7% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.