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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.62+5.81vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.02+3.65vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.02+2.83vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.34+3.68vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-0.74vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.68-1.75vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.73-3.11vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.52+1.73vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering-0.65+1.18vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.64-3.10vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.42-6.12vs Predicted
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12Williams College-1.47-0.19vs Predicted
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13Harvard University-0.82-2.55vs Predicted
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14Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.06-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.81Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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5.65Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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5.83Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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7.68Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
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4.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
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4.25Northeastern University1.680.2%1st Place
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3.89Salve Regina University1.730.2%1st Place
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9.73Middlebury College-0.520.0%1st Place
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10.18Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
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6.9Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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4.88University of Rhode Island1.420.1%1st Place
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11.81Williams College-1.470.0%1st Place
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10.45Harvard University-0.820.0%1st Place
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12.67Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Niall Sheridan | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Renato Korzinek | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 14.0% | 16.9% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 16.2% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Cronin | 18.6% | 18.1% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Augspurger | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 17.1% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 5.1% |
| Alexander Miller | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 13.1% | 17.5% | 19.8% | 14.4% | 6.7% |
| Keller Morrison | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Miller | 11.8% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Harrington | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 30.2% | 25.3% |
| Jack Schwab | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 16.5% | 19.8% | 16.2% | 9.4% |
| Brett Cohen | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 11.2% | 19.6% | 52.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.