Race 5B

central-series-four

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Max Katz-Christy 15.7% 16.4% 13.9% 13.2% 10.2% 9.3% 7.0% 5.3% 5.2% 2.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Samantha Jensen 8.1% 9.0% 9.6% 9.1% 9.4% 11.0% 11.3% 9.6% 9.8% 6.1% 4.1% 1.8% 1.1% 0.0%
Emil Tullberg 6.0% 6.0% 6.7% 7.1% 6.6% 7.0% 10.8% 9.8% 12.4% 10.9% 9.5% 5.1% 1.8% 0.3%
Sam Monaghan 15.5% 15.5% 13.8% 12.2% 12.3% 9.1% 8.4% 6.0% 3.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Renato Korzinek 2.8% 4.1% 5.7% 6.1% 5.2% 7.9% 7.7% 9.4% 11.2% 12.9% 13.2% 8.9% 3.6% 1.3%
Colin Snow 4.5% 4.3% 4.1% 5.3% 7.7% 9.1% 8.1% 10.4% 12.4% 12.2% 11.1% 7.4% 2.9% 0.5%
Niall Sheridan 9.2% 9.5% 8.4% 9.0% 12.4% 9.1% 10.2% 9.2% 8.8% 8.0% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Keller Morrison 6.1% 5.6% 7.1% 7.3% 7.5% 7.9% 9.7% 10.1% 10.0% 10.3% 10.6% 5.4% 2.2% 0.2%
Peter Cronin 16.0% 15.2% 13.2% 12.1% 12.0% 11.2% 7.6% 5.7% 3.9% 1.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Tyler Miller 11.7% 10.4% 12.6% 13.3% 10.8% 10.2% 9.4% 9.2% 6.0% 3.4% 2.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Jack Schwab 1.1% 1.6% 1.4% 1.4% 1.8% 2.1% 3.6% 5.6% 5.0% 9.6% 12.7% 22.5% 21.2% 10.4%
Grace Augspurger 1.6% 1.4% 2.4% 2.2% 2.5% 3.5% 3.8% 6.8% 6.7% 12.0% 17.6% 19.3% 13.6% 6.6%
Nick Harrington 1.3% 0.6% 0.7% 1.1% 1.1% 1.6% 1.5% 1.9% 3.9% 4.3% 7.9% 15.7% 31.3% 27.1%
Brett Cohen 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 1.0% 0.9% 1.0% 1.1% 4.1% 4.5% 10.3% 21.2% 53.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.