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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.42+3.91vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.02+3.87vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.02+3.03vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.73+0.24vs Predicted
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5Olin College of Engineering0.46+2.70vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.64+1.15vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.68-2.83vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.62-0.94vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.34-1.02vs Predicted
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10Harvard University-0.82+0.78vs Predicted
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11Williams College-1.47+1.05vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-0.52-1.88vs Predicted
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13Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.06-0.27vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-9.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91University of Rhode Island1.420.1%1st Place
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5.87Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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6.03Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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4.24Salve Regina University1.730.2%1st Place
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7.7Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
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7.15Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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4.17Northeastern University1.680.2%1st Place
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7.06Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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7.98Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
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10.78Harvard University-0.820.0%1st Place
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12.05Williams College-1.470.0%1st Place
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10.12Middlebury College-0.520.0%1st Place
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12.73Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.060.0%1st Place
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4.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Miller | 11.0% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Niall Sheridan | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Samantha Jensen | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Peter Cronin | 16.0% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Snow | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Keller Morrison | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Sam Monaghan | 17.2% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Renato Korzinek | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 8.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Jack Schwab | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 16.0% | 19.6% | 22.0% | 10.1% |
| Nick Harrington | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 16.9% | 30.3% | 28.5% |
| Grace Augspurger | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 18.3% | 16.1% | 6.5% |
| Brett Cohen | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 5.1% | 11.5% | 21.5% | 52.2% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 16.8% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.