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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+5.23vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.09+4.18vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.46+5.58vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.61+4.06vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.54+0.04vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+1.88vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.74+3.94vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.57+0.24vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.50-0.53vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.49-1.36vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.04-4.42vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.11-1.82vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.50-4.25vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.98-3.70vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.23-9.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.23Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.18Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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8.58Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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8.06Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.04Harvard University3.540.2%1st Place
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7.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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10.94Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.24Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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8.47Dartmouth College2.500.0%1st Place
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8.64Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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6.58Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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10.18Washington College2.110.0%1st Place
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8.75Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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10.3Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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5.93University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Walter Henry | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.3% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 15.4% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 24.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% |
| James Paul | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 6.1% |
| Jack Murphy | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 16.3% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 17.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.