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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.04+5.47vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.57+6.03vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.09+3.31vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+3.81vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.12+1.40vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.74+5.13vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.50+1.45vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.50+0.55vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.11+0.86vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.23-3.99vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.98-0.66vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.54-6.83vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.49-4.19vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.46-5.42vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.61-6.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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8.03Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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6.31Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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6.4Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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11.13Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.45Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.55Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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9.86Washington College2.110.0%1st Place
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6.01University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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10.34Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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5.17Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.81Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.58Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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8.06Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Murphy | 10.4% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
| Jack Egan | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 25.8% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% |
| James Paul | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 3.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 12.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.3% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 19.7% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 13.5% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.9% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 5.7% |
| Walter Henry | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 5.3% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.