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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+5.24vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.54+2.79vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.09+3.32vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.49+4.51vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.23+1.06vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.57+2.32vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.50+1.46vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.61+0.13vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.11+0.86vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.50-1.42vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.46-2.35vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.98-1.43vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.74-1.77vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.04-7.47vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-7.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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4.79Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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6.32Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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8.51Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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6.06University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.32Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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8.46Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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8.13Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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9.86Washington College2.110.0%1st Place
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8.58Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.65Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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10.57Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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11.23Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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6.53Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 14.8% | 16.8% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 5.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 3.7% |
| James Paul | 6.4% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 13.6% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% |
| Walter Henry | 3.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 17.9% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 26.7% |
| Jack Murphy | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.