← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island3.23+4.87vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University3.09+4.20vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College2.46+5.60vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+3.83vs Predicted
-
5Yale University3.12+1.41vs Predicted
-
6Boston University2.57+2.28vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.61+1.01vs Predicted
-
8Washington College2.11+1.88vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University1.98+1.32vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College2.50-1.38vs Predicted
-
11Brown University3.04-4.37vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University3.54-6.84vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College2.49-4.19vs Predicted
-
14Fordham University2.50-5.58vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University1.74-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.87University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
-
6.2Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
-
8.6Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
-
7.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
-
6.41Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
-
8.28Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
-
8.01Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
-
9.88Washington College2.110.0%1st Place
-
10.32Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
-
8.62Dartmouth College2.500.0%1st Place
-
6.63Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
-
5.16Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
-
8.81Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
-
8.42Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
-
10.96Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 11.4% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Walter Henry | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.1% |
| Jack Egan | 9.6% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
| Samuel Merson | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 14.6% |
| Alex Bowdler | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 16.1% |
| James Paul | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% |
| Jack Murphy | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 14.0% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 25.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.