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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+5.25vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.23+3.78vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.09+3.30vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.04+2.58vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.46+3.73vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.54-1.10vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.98+3.21vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.61+0.12vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-1.23vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.57-1.67vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.74+0.08vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.11-1.81vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.50-4.26vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.49-5.44vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.50-6.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.25Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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5.78University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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6.3Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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6.58Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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8.73Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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4.9Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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10.21Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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8.12Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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8.33Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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11.08Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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10.19Washington College2.110.0%1st Place
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8.74Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.56Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.45Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 10.0% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Jack Murphy | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Walter Henry | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 14.4% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 15.9% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.8% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 27.6% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 14.9% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% |
| James Paul | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.