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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.04+5.45vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.50+6.24vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.46+5.60vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.74+6.99vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.09+1.52vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.54-1.05vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.49+1.48vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.23-2.03vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.50-0.56vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.98+0.44vs Predicted
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11Washington College2.11-1.09vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.12-5.46vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.57-4.44vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.61-5.93vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-7.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.45Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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8.24Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.6Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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10.99Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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6.52Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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4.95Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.48Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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5.97University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.44Dartmouth College2.500.0%1st Place
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10.44Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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9.91Washington College2.110.0%1st Place
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6.54Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.56Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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8.07Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Murphy | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% |
| Walter Henry | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 5.9% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 25.7% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 8.9% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 14.1% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| James Paul | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% |
| Alex Bowdler | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 18.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 15.6% |
| Jack Egan | 8.8% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.