Race 9A

84th-boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Spencer Cartwright 9.8% 10.2% 10.2% 8.5% 7.8% 8.1% 8.4% 6.9% 7.1% 5.6% 6.0% 4.3% 2.7% 3.0% 1.4%
Lachlain McGranahan 15.2% 15.2% 11.7% 11.2% 11.1% 7.3% 6.9% 5.8% 4.2% 4.4% 3.3% 2.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Tyler Mowry 5.9% 5.2% 6.1% 7.2% 6.3% 6.5% 6.8% 7.3% 6.8% 7.3% 7.7% 8.8% 7.6% 6.0% 4.5%
Jack Murphy 8.8% 9.6% 8.0% 10.9% 8.1% 7.8% 6.8% 7.8% 5.9% 7.8% 5.8% 4.8% 3.4% 3.4% 1.1%
James Paul 5.7% 5.2% 5.4% 6.7% 3.7% 6.3% 7.2% 6.3% 6.4% 7.4% 9.7% 7.5% 8.6% 6.7% 7.2%
Jack Egan 8.9% 9.5% 9.6% 8.2% 9.7% 9.1% 8.0% 8.4% 7.2% 6.5% 5.2% 4.5% 2.7% 1.9% 0.6%
Sam Bruce 7.2% 5.2% 6.0% 7.2% 7.0% 6.6% 7.7% 6.9% 8.3% 7.8% 7.4% 6.2% 6.7% 6.5% 3.3%
Kerem Erkmen 10.4% 10.5% 10.9% 8.9% 8.8% 8.6% 6.7% 8.0% 7.8% 6.5% 4.8% 3.4% 2.0% 1.8% 0.9%
Thibault Antonietti 4.8% 4.3% 6.3% 5.0% 6.0% 7.6% 6.3% 7.3% 9.2% 7.2% 7.4% 8.6% 7.8% 7.3% 4.9%
Samuel Merson 5.6% 4.4% 6.9% 6.0% 7.1% 6.5% 7.8% 6.0% 8.6% 6.9% 7.5% 9.0% 6.5% 6.5% 4.7%
Walter Henry 4.5% 5.5% 6.0% 5.1% 6.6% 6.0% 7.2% 6.4% 6.3% 7.2% 6.2% 6.7% 9.1% 8.8% 8.4%
Alex Bowdler 2.8% 2.6% 1.5% 3.1% 4.7% 4.7% 4.5% 5.2% 5.2% 5.9% 7.7% 8.9% 11.7% 12.4% 19.1%
Stewart Gurnell 3.2% 3.6% 3.5% 4.4% 3.0% 5.0% 4.9% 6.2% 4.8% 6.5% 7.8% 8.4% 11.8% 12.1% 14.8%
Ted Bjerregaard 2.5% 2.1% 2.9% 3.1% 2.5% 3.8% 4.4% 5.0% 5.7% 5.9% 4.7% 8.0% 9.7% 16.0% 23.7%
Kenneth Corsig 4.7% 6.9% 5.0% 4.5% 7.6% 6.1% 6.4% 6.5% 6.5% 7.1% 8.8% 8.4% 9.1% 7.0% 5.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.