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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.82+5.08vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.00+3.47vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.75+3.34vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.80+2.24vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.43-0.55vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.83+0.15vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+0.89vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.45-0.60vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.95+0.09vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.69+0.02vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.16+0.59vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.78-1.99vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.31-4.83vs Predicted
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14Washington College1.02-2.12vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.90-5.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.08Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.47Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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6.34Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.24University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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4.45Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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6.15Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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7.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.1%1st Place
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7.4Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.09Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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10.02Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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11.59Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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10.01Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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8.17Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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11.88Washington College1.020.0%1st Place
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9.25Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Michels | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 11.0% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Aidan naughton | 10.4% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 16.3% | 16.9% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| John Ped | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| William Bedford | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 11.4% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 17.7% | 27.3% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 9.9% |
| Thomas Styron | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Alex Heim | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 17.8% | 30.8% |
| Patrick Dolan | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.