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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+6.79vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.80+4.11vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.75+3.37vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.43+0.34vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.83+1.31vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.45+1.43vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.31+0.86vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.95+1.15vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.69+0.92vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.16+1.64vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.82-4.73vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.00-6.15vs Predicted
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13Washington College1.02-0.93vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.90-4.73vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.78-5.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.1%1st Place
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6.11University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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6.37Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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4.34Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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6.31Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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7.43Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.86Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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9.15Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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9.92Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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11.64Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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6.27Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.85Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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12.07Washington College1.020.0%1st Place
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9.27Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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9.63Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Ped | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Aidan naughton | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 17.7% | 17.4% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Thomas Styron | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| William Bedford | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 5.7% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 9.2% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 20.0% | 25.7% |
| William Michels | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Alex Heim | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 17.0% | 34.5% |
| Patrick Dolan | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 6.4% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.