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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.80+5.21vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+5.75vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.00+2.56vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.83+2.13vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.45+2.49vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.75+0.35vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.43-2.67vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.82-1.77vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.90+0.23vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.31-1.98vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.95-1.85vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.69-1.76vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.78-3.09vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.16-2.45vs Predicted
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15Washington College1.02-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.21University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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7.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.1%1st Place
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5.56Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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6.13Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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7.49Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.35Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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4.33Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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6.23Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.23Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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8.02Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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9.15Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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10.24Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.91Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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11.55Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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11.83Washington College1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan naughton | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| John Ped | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.7% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 17.2% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| William Michels | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Dolan | 3.4% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 5.2% |
| Thomas Styron | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| William Bedford | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 11.3% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.4% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 19.6% | 25.1% |
| Alex Heim | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 16.4% | 32.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.