Race 4B

84th-boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Aidan Hoogland 11.6% 11.2% 10.6% 11.5% 10.2% 8.5% 7.8% 6.8% 5.4% 4.8% 4.8% 2.7% 2.6% 0.8% 0.7%
Noah Robitshek 3.0% 3.3% 2.8% 4.8% 4.3% 4.8% 6.1% 6.8% 6.9% 7.4% 7.6% 10.1% 10.0% 12.2% 9.9%
William Michels 9.8% 10.1% 9.9% 8.9% 7.4% 10.4% 8.6% 7.8% 7.9% 6.7% 5.2% 2.9% 2.7% 1.2% 0.5%
Teddy Nicolosi 17.3% 16.9% 13.1% 9.7% 11.7% 9.1% 6.2% 5.7% 3.6% 2.4% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Dylan Ascencios 9.0% 8.4% 8.2% 6.7% 9.6% 8.6% 8.9% 9.6% 8.1% 6.9% 5.5% 4.2% 4.0% 1.8% 0.5%
Thomas Styron 6.0% 5.4% 5.1% 6.5% 5.8% 7.0% 8.1% 7.9% 9.3% 10.7% 7.3% 7.1% 6.1% 5.6% 2.1%
John Ped 6.7% 5.2% 6.4% 7.0% 6.3% 6.2% 7.6% 8.7% 8.4% 8.8% 6.5% 7.7% 6.7% 5.6% 2.2%
Sam Bonauto 6.4% 6.6% 7.8% 7.0% 6.9% 6.0% 9.3% 7.4% 7.9% 9.3% 6.8% 6.9% 5.8% 4.5% 1.4%
Ansgar Jordan 9.1% 8.7% 10.1% 9.6% 9.3% 10.1% 8.8% 7.7% 7.2% 6.9% 5.4% 3.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
Patrick Dolan 3.4% 3.6% 3.7% 5.3% 4.9% 6.3% 4.5% 7.0% 6.5% 7.6% 10.3% 10.0% 10.9% 9.0% 7.0%
Aidan naughton 8.3% 11.2% 8.6% 10.3% 8.7% 7.6% 7.9% 6.8% 6.9% 5.5% 6.2% 6.2% 3.5% 1.0% 1.3%
Pearl Lattanzi 1.7% 1.3% 1.3% 1.6% 2.1% 2.8% 3.6% 2.9% 4.7% 5.1% 6.3% 9.3% 11.3% 18.8% 27.2%
Caleb Niles 2.9% 2.7% 4.8% 4.2% 4.0% 4.5% 4.2% 5.8% 5.4% 6.2% 10.1% 9.6% 13.8% 12.1% 9.7%
William Bedford 3.7% 3.4% 5.1% 4.7% 6.4% 5.5% 5.4% 6.3% 7.9% 6.4% 10.4% 10.5% 8.9% 9.5% 5.9%
Alex Heim 1.1% 2.0% 2.5% 2.2% 2.4% 2.6% 3.0% 2.8% 3.9% 5.3% 5.0% 8.0% 11.1% 16.8% 31.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.