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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.00+4.52vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.43+2.24vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.80+3.14vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+2.40vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.82+1.26vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.16+5.59vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.83-0.83vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.45-0.56vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.31-1.16vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-2.00vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.78-1.26vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.69-1.76vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.95-3.69vs Predicted
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14Washington College1.02-2.12vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.90-5.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.52Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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4.24Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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6.14University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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6.4Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.26Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.59Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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6.17Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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7.44Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.84Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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8.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.1%1st Place
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9.74Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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10.24Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.31Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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11.88Washington College1.020.0%1st Place
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9.22Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hoogland | 12.0% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 18.0% | 17.8% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 9.0% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| William Michels | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 26.7% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 10.3% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Thomas Styron | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 1.1% |
| John Ped | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 10.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 12.1% |
| William Bedford | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 6.3% |
| Alex Heim | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 31.6% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.