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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.68+6.74vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.11+4.33vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.52+2.06vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.68+3.97vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.81+2.30vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+1.20vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30-1.23vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.50+0.33vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.57+2.79vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.65-2.10vs Predicted
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11Drexel University0.72+2.83vs Predicted
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12Columbia University2.07-2.01vs Predicted
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13University of Miami3.25-6.96vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.03-7.21vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-4.81vs Predicted
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16Princeton University-0.03-0.69vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-0.15-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.74University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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6.33Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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5.06Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.97U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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7.3Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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5.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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8.33Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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11.79George Washington University1.570.0%1st Place
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7.9SUNY Maritime College2.650.1%1st Place
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13.83Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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9.99Columbia University2.070.0%1st Place
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6.04University of Miami3.250.1%1st Place
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6.79Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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10.19Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.0%1st Place
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15.31Princeton University-0.030.0%1st Place
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15.47U. S. Military Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Russom | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Bo McClatchy | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 13.7% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Timmins | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| James Rohman | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nick Aswad | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Hussain Patel | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 18.5% | 16.2% | 8.7% | 2.5% |
| Dan Crouch Crouch | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jason Sinclair | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 11.9% | 22.3% | 25.7% | 13.4% |
| Melissa Bermudez | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| William Howard | 11.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Strombeck | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christian Geary | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Smith | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 14.5% | 28.2% | 38.5% |
| Phillip Weigand | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 14.0% | 25.3% | 43.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.