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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.75+5.33vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.43+2.24vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.16+8.51vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.88vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.69+4.99vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.31+1.95vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.90+2.24vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.83-1.80vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.82-2.92vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.80-3.69vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.78-1.23vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.00-6.15vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.45-5.32vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.95-4.88vs Predicted
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15Washington College1.02-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.33Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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4.24Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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11.51Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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7.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.1%1st Place
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9.99Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.95Brown University2.310.0%1st Place
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9.24Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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6.2Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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6.08Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.31University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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9.77Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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5.85Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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7.68Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.12Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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11.85Washington College1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Ascencios | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 18.6% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 18.8% | 25.9% |
| John Ped | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 9.8% |
| Thomas Styron | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 6.4% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 10.1% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| William Michels | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Aidan naughton | 7.7% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| William Bedford | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 6.3% |
| Alex Heim | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 15.4% | 33.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.