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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.00+4.56vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.75+4.24vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.45+4.34vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.69+5.95vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.31+2.97vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.43-1.68vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.80-0.80vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.16+3.57vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.78+0.68vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.82-3.73vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.95-1.76vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.83-5.58vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.90-3.48vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-6.13vs Predicted
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15Washington College1.02-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.56Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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6.24Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.34Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.95Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.97Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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4.32Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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6.2University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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11.57Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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9.68Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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6.27Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.24Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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6.42Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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9.52Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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7.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.1%1st Place
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11.86Washington College1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hoogland | 12.6% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 8.8% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.6% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 10.4% |
| Thomas Styron | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 16.4% | 17.6% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 10.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 17.9% | 26.3% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 7.5% |
| William Michels | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| William Bedford | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.4% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Dolan | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.1% |
| John Ped | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Alex Heim | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 17.6% | 32.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.