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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.82+5.17vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.75+4.30vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.83+3.09vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.00+1.68vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.69+4.96vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.43-1.67vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+0.87vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.45-0.53vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.80-2.82vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.95-0.82vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.90-1.68vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.16-0.19vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.78-3.10vs Predicted
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14Washington College1.02-2.12vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.31-7.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.3Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.09Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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5.68Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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9.96Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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4.33Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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7.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.1%1st Place
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7.47Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.18University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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9.18Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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9.32Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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11.81Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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9.9Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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11.88Washington College1.020.0%1st Place
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7.85Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Michels | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 7.6% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 12.5% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.5% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 17.0% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Ped | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Aidan naughton | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| William Bedford | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 5.8% |
| Patrick Dolan | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 18.5% | 27.3% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 9.8% |
| Alex Heim | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 19.0% | 30.3% |
| Thomas Styron | 5.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.