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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.13+6.80vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+4.94vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.45+3.69vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.38+3.03vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.07+3.21vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.85+2.92vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.71-1.14vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.65-1.88vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.36-1.99vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.74-0.61vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.69-1.46vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.51-5.17vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.28-5.30vs Predicted
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14Washington College0.21-0.63vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-6.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.8Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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6.94University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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6.69Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.03Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.21Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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8.92Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
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5.86Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.12Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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7.01Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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9.39Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.54Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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6.83Fordham University2.510.1%1st Place
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7.7Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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13.37Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
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8.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Hansen | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| Parker Colantuono | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Micky Munns | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 3.7% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 4.3% |
| Alex Fasolo | 12.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Lukens | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 7.0% |
| William George | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 7.8% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Davies | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 62.3% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.