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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.69+8.32vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+4.94vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.38+3.97vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.65+2.07vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.07+3.22vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.74+3.33vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.36+0.02vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.45-1.13vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.28-1.69vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.71-4.03vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.13-2.96vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.51-5.11vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.85-3.82vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-5.39vs Predicted
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15Washington College0.21-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.32Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.94University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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6.97Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.07Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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8.22Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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9.33Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.02Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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6.87Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.31Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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5.97Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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8.04Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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6.89Fordham University2.510.1%1st Place
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9.18Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
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8.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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13.25Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William George | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 8.3% |
| Parker Colantuono | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Christopher Lukens | 11.4% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Micky Munns | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 3.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 5.7% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 8.9% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Davies | 7.2% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 1.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Eric Hansen | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 6.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 3.5% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 60.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.