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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.36+6.04vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.36+4.92vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.51+3.53vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.07+4.13vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.45+1.94vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.65+0.11vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.13+0.84vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.85+0.94vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.71-3.13vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.74-0.61vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.28-3.59vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.38-4.71vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.69-3.24vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-5.43vs Predicted
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15Washington College0.21-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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6.92Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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6.53Fordham University2.510.1%1st Place
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8.13Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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6.94Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.11Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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7.84Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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8.94Connecticut College1.850.1%1st Place
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5.87Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.39Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.41Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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7.29Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.76Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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13.25Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Colantuono | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Micky Munns | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 2.7% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 7.9% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Christopher Lukens | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Eric Hansen | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Harris Padegs | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 4.9% |
| Alex Fasolo | 10.1% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 6.4% |
| Nicholas Davies | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Mathieu Dale | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| William George | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 8.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 3.1% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 10.8% | 61.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.