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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.07+7.06vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.13+5.72vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.71+2.76vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.36+3.10vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.65+1.26vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+2.69vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.38-0.04vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.85+0.93vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.28-1.72vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.45-3.09vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.74-1.69vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.69-2.24vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.36-5.64vs Predicted
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14Washington College0.21-0.64vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.51-8.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.06Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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7.72Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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5.76Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.1University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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6.26Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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8.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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6.96Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.93Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
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7.28Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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6.91Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.31Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.76Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.36Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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13.36Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
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6.54Fordham University2.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micky Munns | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 3.7% |
| Eric Hansen | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| Alex Fasolo | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Parker Colantuono | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Christopher Lukens | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 3.8% |
| Mathieu Dale | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 5.0% |
| Nicholas Davies | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 6.7% |
| William George | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 6.9% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 61.8% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.